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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu May 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
Satellite data indicate that a small area of low pressure located 
several hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico 
is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some 
gradual development is possible during the next day or so while the 
low moves little. By this weekend, the system is forecast to merge 
with another disturbance to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles to 
the south of southern Mexico during the next couple of days. Gradual 
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could 
form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves 
slowly to the west or west-northwest, remaining south of the coast 
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart