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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0900 UTC WED OCT 04 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 65.4W
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 65.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 60SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.3N 65.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 60SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 43.1N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 51.5N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 65.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
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